We head to Doncaster for two races this afternoon. The going is Good and a dry sunny day is forecast. I will be firming up my prices a little later once I have spoken to a number of contacts at the course.
1.55: The opening race is a Group 3 confined to fillies and mares.
With Lumiere having disappointed on latest start and Same Jurisdiction having her first start since arriving from South Africa, this is a difficult race to price with total confidence.
However Nemoralia was impressive at York. She sets a high standard and deserves to be at short odds.
With various doubts concerning the others runners Spangled can figure at big odds. Currently available at 16/1 with quite a few firms.
I provisionally price as follows:
2.30: A 5f Group 2 with local trainer Mark Johnston holding two strong entries with The Last Lion and Yalta.
What to make of Yalta is the big question here. His impressive win in the Molecomb at Goodwood two starts ago would make him difficult to beat here.
However he finished last at York on his latest start, being beaten before half way.
Excuses concerning the draw and a more competitive race have been put forward for that York reverse. To my eye it looked a possible physical issue. A return to that Goodwood form would set a good standard.
For me, Tis Marvellous and Afandem are the dangers in this highly competitive sprint.
I presently make Yalta, Tis Marvellous and Afandem 4/1 co favs.
Another very good week in the making with three winners from four bets only so far this week. Special terms for the 2016/17 main jumps campaign are now available. They include a discount on standard rates plus the remainder of this month free. See the website for full details of membership opportunities and to get your free information pack: www.slh.co.uk