The arrival time of the bands of rain sweeping across the country will be an added factor this afternoon. Ascot should get a relatively clear run before arrival but Haydock is already seeing the first wave.
3.10 Ascot Appletiser Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2)
Richest race on the card with £100,000 in prize money for the twelve declared to contest.
Stargazer was noted on latest start at Goodwood over 10f. He stayed on well after having to race wide on the track. Steps up to 12f today which is expected to bring further improvement.
Although there are a few other possible improvers in the opposition, I would be surprised if Stargazer doesn’t go very close. On my provisional tissue below I have him the same as the general price on offer. Not value enough for me in a competitive handicap:
Dal Harraild 11/2
4.30 Haydock 32Red Sprint Cup Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1)
As things stand by the time we get to this race, Haydock will have been at the centre of the rainband as it passes east. Haydock does not drain as easily as many other courses. Until we see the extent and depth of the heavy rain forecast it is not possible to accurately price this race. Also we could lose the favourite should the conditions be too soft.
Looking at a few of the contenders and their preferred conditions:
Limato’s prospects depend on the ground staying good – softer ground will lessen his chance. For me the 9/4 favourite on good and a drifter on a slower surface.
Quiet Reflection will be suited by easing ground, and must go very close.
Donjuan Triumphant is expected to go well at double figure odds if the forecast rains arrive.
Provisionally pricing on good to soft – soft ground, I go: Quiet Refection 5/1, Donjuan Triumphant 14/1.