Eight races on Channel 4 this afternoon and we are going to quickly look at three of them. Two at Newbury where the going is again Good to Firm and the feature race of the year at Ripon to be run on good ground. At both courses have been watered and a dry cloudy day is forecast.
3.05 Newbury Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3)
Kings Fete looks to have an excellent chance of following up his win at Goodwood. His previous run at Royal Ascot saw Ryan Moore have to snatch him up when going for a gap between horses and despite running on his chance had gone. He is not completely straightforward and this is factored into my pricing. As is the likelihood of a tactical battle amongst the small field.
Battersea makes only his second outing of the season having wintered in Meydan.
Humphrey Bogart won his Derby trial at Lingfield and has subsequently run in two Derby’s: Epsom and then at Belmont.
I have provisionally priced as follows pending a report from the course:
Kings Fete 4/5
Humphrey Bogart 6/1
4.10 Newbury Hungerford Stakes (Group 2)
Home Of The Brave narrowly beat Convey earlier this season at Haydock and I expect him to confirm that form.
In their last outings Home Of The Brave finished second in a Group 2 at Goodwood whilst Convey won a listed event at Pontefract.
The market looks about right and there is no great angle into the race.
I price the market leaders as follows:
Home Of The Brave 13/8
3.55 Ripon Great St Wilfrid Stakes (CLASS 2)
A highly competitive sprint handicap named after the patron saint of Ripon.
Son Of Africa caught the eye on latest start and is expected to go well at decent odds.
He has dropped to a fair handicap mark and conditions will suit.
Current 16/1 looks about right.
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