Further light rain forecast at Cheltenham this morning and dry, with a strong south-westerly breeze this afternoon. One race to look at from the Gloucstershire course.
1.50 Cheltenham Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3)
Plenty of the runners tie-in on form and are fairly exposed, six of them ran in the Paddy Power in mid-November.
Buywise is one of these and if he can put in a clean round of jumping he can come out top of that half-dozen.
Tenor Nivernais impressed when winning at Ascot on his only start so far this season. Drew clear from his rivals to win by a long margin on soft ground. A reproduction of that effort gives him every chance.
He has proved to be inconsistent in the past but with the Venetia Williams stable in fine form, he has to be seriously considered.
Champagne West returns after ten months out from an injury and is of interest, being unexposed over fences. Twice a winner at this track last season when partnered by Richard Johnson. However it is slightly disconcerting that Johnson has chosen to ride stablemate Village Vic this afternoon.
The current 8/1 the field indicates how wide open this race is. I am inclined to take a different approach to many and look outside of the Paddy Power form.
Tenor Nivanais[11/1] and Champagne West[10/1] are two that I would keep onside.